Saturday, September 3, 2011

NFL Futures

Since my fantasy content has moved to http://www.fantasyfootballsportal.com/ this site will now just be a place for the lines. Starting off with the over-unders.

The following are slam dunks. Take them to the bank.

Chargers over 10 wins

Cowboys over 9 wins

Bucs under 8.5 wins

Chiefs under 8 wins


A few more that should be considered

Raiders over 7 wins

Bengals under 6 wins

Ravens under 11 wins

Jets under 10 wins

Bears over 9 wins


And now for the divisions

NFC South: Almost a toss up between the Saints and Falcons. Saints are better team, the slight favorite and the odds reflect that. There is no bet here.

NFC North: There is some value in the Bears at 6:1, but the Packers will still most likely win this division.

NFC East: The Cowboys, the likely champion, are sporting attractive 3:1 odds, the same as the Giants. Strongest bet you will find.

NFC West: This is another toss up division, this time between San Francisco and St Louis. The Niners have some value here at 2.5:1, whereas the Rams will only give you 1.5:1. This is a bet.

AFC West: Like the Bears, the Raiders have some value with outside chance and 6:1 odds. But at the end of the day, San Diego will come out on top.

AFC North: The Steelers, who most certainly will win, are only costing you 1:1.25, not nearly as bad as the odds the Chargers or Packers will give you. This is a decent betting opportunity.

AFC East: The Pats are once again the favorite, but their odds (1.7:1) aren't as attractive as the Steelers'. The Jest are an outside chance but I would want better than the 1.8:1 odds you can get.

AFC SOuth: These odds are off the board while Peyton Manning's injury is uncertain. Unless he misses a significant amount of time, the Colts will still win the division.

Sunday, December 5, 2010

BCS+ Update: What Would Have Been

Rose Bowl
Oregon - Wisconsin

Sugar Bowl
Auburn - TCU

Orange Bowl
Virginia Tech - Stanford

Cotton Bowl
UConn - Ohio State

Fiesta Bowl
Oklahoma - Arkansas


This year it ends up with de facto semi final, as no matter the result, it's tough to see the Sugar and Rose winners not advancing to the championship. A one-loss Wisconsin isn't going to get passed after beating Oregon, and a win over Auburn would completely legitimize Texas Christian.

Saturday, November 20, 2010

Week 11 Prospecting

Bears +1.5 over Dolphins

Raiders +9 over Steelers

Chargers -10.5 over Broncos



Song of the Week

Arthur Alexander - Anna

Saturday, November 13, 2010

Week 10 Prospecting

Texans +1.5 over Jags

Bears +1 over Vikings

Colts -7 over Bengals

Bucs -6.5 over Panthers

Titans -2 over Dolphins


Song of the Week
Sanchez - If I Ever Fall
a reggae cover of the greatest r&b song of the 90s? sign me up

Sunday, November 7, 2010

Super Bowl Prospecting

Quick look at the current odds for Super Bowl Winners, trying to find some hidden gems.

Sucker Bets
Pats +675
Ravens +875
Falcons +1100

Fair Play(well for Vegas)
Packers +850
Giants +875
Steelers +875
Jets +1000
Saints +1400

Decent Bets
Colts +1075

Longshots with Legs
Chargers +2000
Titans +2200

Longshots No Legs
Chiefs +2800
Eagles +2800
Vikings +5500
Bears +7500
Dolphins +7500(maybe a few legs)

Hidden Gems(It could happen)
Texans +8500

Saturday, November 6, 2010

Week 9 Prospecting

Saints -7 over Panthers

Bears -3 over Bills

Colts +3 over Eagles

Packers -8 over Cowboys

Steelers -4.5 over Bengals

Dolphins +5.5 over Ravens


Song of the Week

Chairmen of the Board - Gimme Just a Little More Time

Monday, November 1, 2010

Mondays Minings

There really isn't much to say at this point in the season, big pickups are done. You are pretty much locked in with what you have. In any case I have updated matchup rankings, and a new feature as we follow the college season under what would happen under BCS+.

Matchup Rankings
Once again, these are the best and worst teams to send your running backs against.

A+
Buffalo Bills

A
Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

A-
Detroit Lions

B+
St Louis Rams
Jacksonville Jaguars
Dallas Cowboys(seem like a different team post-Romo, disregarding previous results here)

B
Denver Broncos
New Orleans Saints
Cincinnati Bengals
Indianapolis Colts
Carolina Panthers

B-
New England Patriots
Oakland Raiders
Cleveland Browns
San Francisco 49ers

C+
Washington Redskins
Philadelphia Eagles

C
Atlanta Falcons
Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
Minnesota Vikings

C-
San Diego Chargers
Tennessee Titans

D+
Chicago Bears
New York Giants
Miami Dolphins

D
Green Bay Packers

D-
Pittsburgh Steelers



BCS+ Update

Right now, The Utah-TCU winner will have a date with Auburn in the Sugar Bowl, as long as noone is upset. Boise State needs a loss to control their destiny, as of now, they would likely face a one-loss, Big 12 champ in the Fiesta Bowl. Oregon has the inside track to the Rose Bowl and the national title. Of course a lot changes with even a single loss by one of these teams. Auburn still has to play Alabama and the SEC championship.